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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Avondale Eviction Risk: Moderate , Savannah

Tract 13051003602 · Chatham County, GA · pop 4,726 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 13051003602 sits in the Avondale area of Savannah eviction risk, GA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. Severe burden reaches 39%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 17% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,992
Renter share46.5%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate25.0%
Median income$43,485

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Avondale
Moderate
Within parent city
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 53 tracts In Savannah
Very High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 87 tracts In Chatham County
Very High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#398 of 2,791 tracts In Georgia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Savannah and the region

Centroid at 32.0485, -81.0568 · click any tract to drill in

Why Avondale scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Savannah
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
25.0% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,208 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Savannah
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Savannah
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Savannah
3.5

How Avondale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Avondale risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0036024.0Savannahparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 181Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 20.27%Avg annual filing rate
  • 20.3%Peak (2011)
  • 181Filings in 2011 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Avondale

Cost burden runs 64% here against 46.6% across Chatham County. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.6/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $43,485, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Chatham County average of 4.1.

The filing record is not thin: 181 evictions over 1 years of observation. SNAP participation runs 22.9% against 15.2% nationally.

Average gross rent is $1,208, 13% below the Savannah average. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The worst year on record was 2011, when 20.3% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Savannah. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 20.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 13051003602

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13051003602?

Census tract 13051003602 in the Avondale neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 13051003602?

Median gross rent is $1,208/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 13051003602?

25.0% of residents in tract 13051003602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,726.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 13051003602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 57th, minority 77th, housing 22th.
Q5

Is tract 13051003602 considered part of Avondale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13051003602 fall within Avondale (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 13051003602?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 181 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 13051003602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.27% of renter households, peaking at 20.3% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 13051003602 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 13051003602 compare to Savannah overall?

Tract 13051003602 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Savannah at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Savannah eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 13051003602 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Savannah

Top eight tracts in Savannah ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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