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Census Tract · Ranked #72,539 of 84,120 nationally

Heron Bay Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 13255160202 · Spalding County, GA · pop 4,440 · 25% of tract blocks fall in Heron Bay

Heron Bay is where census tract 13255160202 sits, home to 4,440 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 4.5/10. It lands near the 23rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 0% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $90,221 a year. About 2% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.1
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 2% Owners 98%
Tract context
Occupied units2,140
Renter share2.4%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate1.6%
Median income$90,221

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Heron Bay
Very High
Within county
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 17 tracts In Spalding County
Very Low
Within state
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#2,326 of 2,791 tracts In Georgia
Very Low
National
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#72,539 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Heron Bay and the region

Centroid at 33.3113, -84.2113 · click any tract to drill in

Why Heron Bay scores 2.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Heron Bay
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
1.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Heron Bay
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Heron Bay
2.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Heron Bay
4.9

How Heron Bay compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Heron Bay risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.12.1This tracttract 160202Heron Bay: 2.62.6Heron Bayparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 37

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Heron Bay

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Heron Bay, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well below the Spalding County average of 6.0 and below the Georgia statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 37th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 13255160202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13255160202?

Census tract 13255160202 in Heron Bay scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 13255160202?

1.6% of residents in tract 13255160202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,440.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 13255160202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 55th, minority 43th, housing 31th.
Q4

What share of households in tract 13255160202 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q5

How does tract 13255160202 compare to Heron Bay overall?

Tract 13255160202 scores 2.1/10, lower than the parent city of Heron Bay at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Heron Bay; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Heron Bay

Top eight tracts in Heron Bay ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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