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Census Tract · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally

McDonough Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 13151070323 · Henry County, GA · pop 3,446 · 45% of tract blocks fall in McDonough

McDonough is where census tract 13151070323 sits, home to 3,446 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 7.3/10. It lands near the 98th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

69% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,345 monthly, set against $48,295 in average yearly household income, roughly 33% of income at the averages. Renters make up 84% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 58% Stable renters 26% Owners 16%
Tract context
Occupied units1,194
Renter share84.1%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate36.5%
Median income$48,295

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 15 tracts In McDonough
Very High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 59 tracts In Henry County
Very High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#421 of 2,791 tracts In Georgia
High
National
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#19,562 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across McDonough and the region

Centroid at 33.4412, -84.1657 · click any tract to drill in

Why McDonough scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from McDonough
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
36.5% poverty · this tract
9.1
Supply constraint
$1,345 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from McDonough
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from McDonough
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from McDonough
7.1

How McDonough compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
McDonough risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 070323McDonough: 2.82.8McDonoughparent cityCounty: 3.03.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in McDonough

What moves this score most is economic stress at 9.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from McDonough eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well above the Henry County average of 5.8 and above the Georgia statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 31.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 23.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 13151070323

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13151070323?

Census tract 13151070323 in McDonough scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 13151070323?

Median gross rent is $1,345/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 13151070323?

36.5% of residents in tract 13151070323 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,446.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 13151070323?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 54th, minority 91th, housing 49th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 13151070323 struggle to pay rent?

About 31.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 13151070323 compare to McDonough overall?

Tract 13151070323 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of McDonough at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from McDonough eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in McDonough

Top eight tracts in McDonough ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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