Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Heron Bay Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 13255160202 · Spalding County, GA · pop 4,440 · 25% of tract blocks fall in Heron Bay
Tract 13255160202 sits in Heron Bay, GA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 4,440 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.7/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 98%
Tract context
Occupied units2,140
Renter share2.4%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate1.6%
Median income$90,221
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
13
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
24
th percentile
Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Heron Bay and the region
Centroid at 33.3113, -84.2113 · click any tract to drill in
Why Heron Bay scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Heron Bay
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
1.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Heron Bay
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Heron Bay
2.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Heron Bay
4.9
How Heron Bay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 31%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.1%Housing insecurity
- 4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.6%Food insecurity
- 5.8%SNAP enrollment
- 4.8%Transit barriers
- 8.6%No health insurance
- 11.7%Frequent mental distress
- 30.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Heron Bay
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. It sits 1.5 points below the Spalding County average of 4.5. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2/10.
Food insecurity runs 8.6% against 17.8% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 7.1% against 14.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 2% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.3/10.
Statewide the GA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 13255160202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13255160202?
Census tract 13255160202 in Heron Bay scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 13255160202?
1.6% of residents in tract 13255160202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,440.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 13255160202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 55th, minority 43th, housing 31th.
Q4
What share of households in tract 13255160202 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q5
How does tract 13255160202 compare to Heron Bay overall?
Tract 13255160202 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Heron Bay at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Heron Bay; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Heron Bay
Top eight tracts in Heron Bay ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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