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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Waialae-Kahala Eviction Risk: Moderate , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003000401 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 2,726 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

15003000401 is a census tract in the Waialae-Kahala area of East Honolulu, HI. It scores 4.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,726 residents. Cost burden runs 34% here against 50.9% across Honolulu County.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 8% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,042
Renter share12.5%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate7.3%
Median income$171,316

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 8 tracts In Waialae-Kahala
Very Low
Within parent city
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 18 tracts In Urban Honolulu
Elevated
Within county
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#270 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
Very Low
Within state
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#345 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.3018, -157.7705 · click any tract to drill in

Why Waialae-Kahala scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
7.3% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$2,458 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
4.9

How Waialae-Kahala compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Waialae-Kahala risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0004016.6Urban Honoluluparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county5.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Waialae-Kahala. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Waialae-Kahala

The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The main counterweight is court filing pressure at 1.7/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.8/10.

Average gross rent is $2,458, 26% below the East Honolulu average. Against the Honolulu County average of 6.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.4 points.

Housing insecurity runs 5.4% against 14.2% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 2.9% against 11.3% nationally. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.1/10.

On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $171,316, annual rent is just 17%.

Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.3 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003000401

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003000401?

Census tract 15003000401 in the Waialae-Kahala neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 15003000401?

Median gross rent is $2,458/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003000401?

7.3% of residents in tract 15003000401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,726.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003000401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 35th, minority 86th, housing 51th.
Q5

Is tract 15003000401 considered part of Waialae-Kahala?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003000401 fall within Waialae-Kahala (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 15003000401 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 15003000401 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003000401 scores 4.6/10, lower than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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