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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Mānoa Eviction Risk: Moderate , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003003104 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 2,426 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 15003003104 sits in the Mānoa area of Urban Honolulu eviction risk, HI, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. Population here is 2,426. Severe burden reaches 48%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 10% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units853
Renter share20.3%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate3.4%
Median income$202,969

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Mānoa
Moderate
Within parent city
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#128 of 132 tracts In Urban Honolulu
Very Low
Within county
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#217 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
Low
Within state
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#275 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.3152, -157.7996 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mānoa scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
3.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,857 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6

How Mānoa compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mānoa risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0031046.6Urban Honoluluparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county5.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 18

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mānoa

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10.

Housing insecurity runs 5.3% against 14.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 2.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 11% of average household income of $202,969, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 50% of renters. It tracks the Honolulu County average of 6.0 closely. Average gross rent is $1,857, close to the Urban Honolulu average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003003104

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003003104?

Census tract 15003003104 in the Mānoa neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 15003003104?

Median gross rent is $1,857/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003003104?

3.4% of residents in tract 15003003104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,426.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003003104?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 59th, minority 80th, housing 12th.
Q5

Is tract 15003003104 considered part of Mānoa?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003003104 fall within Mānoa (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 15003003104 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 15003003104 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003003104 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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