Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

Moiliili Eviction Risk: High , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003002003 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 1,605 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

With a score of 8/10, tract 15003002003 in the Moiliili area of Urban Honolulu, HI reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,605. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.

Risk score

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 34% Owners 34%

Tract context

Occupied units1,370

Renter share65.8%

SVI overall0.77

Poverty rate14.9%

Median income$58,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.2804, -157.8272 · click any tract to drill in

Why Moiliili scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

6.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.3

State political climate

Hawaii legislature & governorship

5.5

Economic stress

14.9% poverty · this tract

3.7

Supply constraint

$1,849 rent vs county FMR

1.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

7.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

9.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

6.6

How Moiliili compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

80%Socioeconomic
46%Household composition
71%Racial/ethnic minority
74%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Moiliili. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.6%Housing insecurity
5.2%Utility-shutoff threat
16.1%Food insecurity
11.0%SNAP enrollment
6.4%Transit barriers
4.8%No health insurance
13.6%Frequent mental distress
26.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Moiliili

Set annual rent against average income of $58,750 and the ratio lands at 38%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against the Honolulu County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.

On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10. This is renter territory: 66% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.9/10. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 7.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 2.1 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 48% of renters. Average gross rent is $1,849, close to the Urban Honolulu average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003002003

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003002003?

Census tract 15003002003 in the Moiliili neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 15003002003?

Median gross rent is $1,849/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003002003?

14.9% of residents in tract 15003002003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,605.

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003002003?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 46th, minority 71th, housing 74th.

Is tract 15003002003 considered part of Moiliili?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003002003 fall within Moiliili (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 15003002003 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 15003002003 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003002003 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.