Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally
Pālolo Eviction Risk: Elevated , Urban Honolulu
Tract 15003001202 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 3,157 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 15003001202 covers part of the Pālolo area of Urban Honolulu, HI, and scores 6.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,157 residents. The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units954
Renter share31.7%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate12.7%
Median income$110,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region
Centroid at 21.2933, -157.7998 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pālolo scores 6.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
12.7% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$2,098 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6
How Pālolo compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.4%Housing insecurity
- 5.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.6%Food insecurity
- 13.8%SNAP enrollment
- 8.1%Transit barriers
- 6.1%No health insurance
- 14.7%Frequent mental distress
- 30.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pālolo
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.3/10.
Average gross rent is $2,098, 15% above the Urban Honolulu average. It sits 0.8 points above the Honolulu County average of 6.0. That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 7.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 48% of renters. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $110,750.
32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 15003001202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003001202?
Census tract 15003001202 in the Pālolo neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 15003001202?
Median gross rent is $2,098/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 15003001202?
12.7% of residents in tract 15003001202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,157.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 15003001202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 65th, minority 91th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 15003001202 considered part of Pālolo?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003001202 fall within Pālolo (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 15003001202 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 15003001202 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?
Tract 15003001202 scores 6.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu
Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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