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Census Tract · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Kahului Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 15009031104 · Maui County, HI · pop 2,533

Tract 15009031104 sits in Kahului eviction risk, HI, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.5/10. It is home to 2,533 residents. Cost burden runs 3% here against 48.5% across Maui County.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 14% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units881
Renter share14.6%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate0.0%
Median income$165,504

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 6 tracts In Kahului
Very Low
Within county
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#41 of 45 tracts In Maui County
Very Low
Within state
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#355 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
Very Low
National
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#41,206 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Kahului and the region

Centroid at 20.8637, -156.4796 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kahului scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Kahului
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
0.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kahului
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kahului
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kahului
5.5

How Kahului compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kahului risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.5This tracttract 0311045.9Kahuluiparent city6.1Countyavg tract in county5.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 1

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kahului

What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10. At $3,501 a month, rents run 135% over what the rest of Kahului commands.

The voucher gap is 51.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Against the Maui County average of 6.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.6 points.

Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.8/10. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.4 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 15009031104

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15009031104?

Census tract 15009031104 in Kahului scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 15009031104?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 3% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 15009031104?

0.0% of residents in tract 15009031104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,533.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 15009031104?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 0th, household 24th, minority 88th, housing 0th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 15009031104 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 15009031104 compare to Kahului overall?

Tract 15009031104 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Kahului at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kahului eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Kahului

Top eight tracts in Kahului ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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