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Census Tract · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally

Garden City Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 16001002412 · Ada County, ID · pop 4,491 · 60% of tract blocks fall in Garden City

Tract 16001002412, home to 4,491 residents in Garden City, scores $1/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 12th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

54% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,425 monthly, set against $87,500 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 31% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 14% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units2,000
Renter share30.6%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate5.2%
Median income$87,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Garden City
Low
Within county
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#68 of 129 tracts In Ada County
Moderate
Within state
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#305 of 456 tracts In Idaho
Low
National
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#65,113 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Garden City and the region

Centroid at 43.6684, -116.3184 · click any tract to drill in

Why Garden City scores 2.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Garden City
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Idaho legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.2% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,425 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Garden City
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Garden City
2.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Garden City
1.9

How Garden City compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Garden City risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.62.6This tracttract 002412Garden City: 2.32.3Garden Cityparent cityCounty: 2.62.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.33.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 48

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Garden City

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 2.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Garden City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Ada County average of 3.9 and in line with the Idaho statewide average of 4.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 48th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 16001002412

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 16001002412?

Census tract 16001002412 in Garden City scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 16001002412?

Median gross rent is $1,425/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 16001002412?

5.2% of residents in tract 16001002412 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,491.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 16001002412?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 23th, minority 13th, housing 82th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 16001002412 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 16001002412 compare to Garden City overall?

Tract 16001002412 scores 2.6/10, higher than the parent city of Garden City at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Garden City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Garden City

Top eight tracts in Garden City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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