Star Eviction Risk: Lower

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.3/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. SNAP participation runs 6.0% against 15.2% nationally.

The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Food insecurity runs 9.5% against 17.8% nationally.

The voucher gap is 14.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Average gross rent is $2,096, 9% above the Star average.

On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 2.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.