Neighborhood · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally
Cottage Grove Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago
Tract 17031500100 ·
Cook County, IL · pop 3,231 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 7.5/10, tract 17031500100 in the Cottage Grove Heights area of Chicago, IL reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,231. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%Stable renters 28%Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,497
Renter share48.9%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate16.4%
Median income$67,708
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Cottage Grove Heights
Moderate
Within parent city
55th percentile
#360 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Moderate
Within county
70th percentile
#404 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Elevated
Within state
87th percentile
#435 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.7147, -87.5950 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cottage Grove Heights scores 7.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
16.4% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,154 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Cottage Grove Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 24
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
48%Socioeconomic
18%Household composition
98%Racial/ethnic minority
4%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
0%Grade B
24%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
793Total filings over 15 yrs
6.88%Avg annual filing rate
12.0%Peak (2001)
53Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year2001 to 2015
Filings dropped 41% over the past 15 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
22.1%Housing insecurity
14.5%Utility-shutoff threat
26.2%Food insecurity
25.9%SNAP enrollment
12.5%Transit barriers
8.3%No health insurance
15.5%Frequent mental distress
31.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cottage Grove Heights
The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.6/10. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. At $1,154 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Chicago commands.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 793 filings here across 15 tracked years. Food insecurity runs 26.2% against 17.8% nationally.
Housing insecurity runs 22.1% against 14.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2001, when 12.0% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 6.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #10,320 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031500100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031500100?
Census tract 17031500100 in the Cottage Grove Heights neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031500100?
Median gross rent is $1,154/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031500100?
16.4% of residents in tract 17031500100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,231.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031500100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 18th, minority 98th, housing 4th.
Q5
Is tract 17031500100 considered part of Cottage Grove Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031500100 fall within Cottage Grove Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031500100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 793 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031500100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.88% of renter households, peaking at 12.0% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031500100 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031500100 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031500100 scores 7.5/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031500100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.