Within neighborhood
43
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
Homan Square Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031838600 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,518 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 17031838600 covers part of the Homan Square area of Chicago, IL, and scores 8.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,518. Severe burden reaches 42%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 48%
Stable renters 42%
Owners 10%
Tract context
Occupied units602
Renter share90.4%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate36.0%
Median income$14,701
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
97
th percentile
Very High
Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.8678, -87.7008 · click any tract to drill in
Why Homan Square scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
36.0% poverty · this tract
9.0
Supply constraint
$1,073 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Homan Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 96%Racial/ethnic minority
- 100%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 99%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 385Total filings over 15 yrs
- 6.82%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.1%Peak (2002)
- 26Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 37% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Homan Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 37.2%Housing insecurity
- 26.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 48.0%Food insecurity
- 51.1%SNAP enrollment
- 23.3%Transit barriers
- 17.1%No health insurance
- 21.9%Frequent mental distress
- 40.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Homan Square
Annualized rent equals 88% of average household income of $14,701, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. SNAP participation runs 51.1% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 48.0% against 17.8% nationally.
This is renter territory: 90% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9/10. The poverty rate is 36%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.1/10. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,073, 25% below the Chicago average.
Against Cook County at 45.6%, 53% of renters here are cost-burdened.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031838600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031838600?
Census tract 17031838600 in the Homan Square neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031838600?
Median gross rent is $1,073/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031838600?
36.0% of residents in tract 17031838600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,518.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031838600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 82th, minority 96th, housing 100th.
Q5
Is tract 17031838600 considered part of Homan Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031838600 fall within Homan Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031838600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 385 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031838600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.82% of renter households, peaking at 10.1% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031838600 struggle to pay rent?
About 37.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 26.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031838600 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031838600 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031838600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 99% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Park Manor
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Placerdale
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Brookdale
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Grand Crossing
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Moreland
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Chester Highlands
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Mandell
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Oakwood Shores
8.1
/ 10 · High
Related