Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
The Cottage Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031500300 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,794 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Tract 17031500300 sits in the The Cottage area of Chicago eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.1/10. 44% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units925
Renter share45.5%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate26.3%
Median income$51,336
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.6893, -87.6054 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Cottage scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
26.3% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$967 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How The Cottage compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 70
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 62%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 22%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 50%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 175Total filings over 15 yrs
- 2.69%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.2%Peak (2007)
- 5Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 64% over the past 15 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.6%Housing insecurity
- 13.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.3%Food insecurity
- 24.1%SNAP enrollment
- 11.8%Transit barriers
- 12.5%No health insurance
- 15.4%Frequent mental distress
- 30.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Cottage
59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Cook County average of 45.6%. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10.
At $967 a month, rents run 33% under what the rest of Chicago commands. It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
SNAP participation runs 24.1% against 15.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 175 evictions over 15 years of observation.
Food insecurity runs 25.3% against 17.8% nationally. Filings peaked in 2007 at 5.2% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 2.7% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031500300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031500300?
Census tract 17031500300 in the The Cottage neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031500300?
Median gross rent is $967/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031500300?
26.3% of residents in tract 17031500300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,794.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031500300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 62th, minority 71th, housing 22th.
Q5
Is tract 17031500300 considered part of The Cottage?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031500300 fall within The Cottage (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031500300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 175 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031500300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.69% of renter households, peaking at 5.2% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031500300 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031500300 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031500300 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031500300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 50% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Fifth City
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Argyle Street
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
K-Town Historic District
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
East Hyde Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
West Roseland
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Becks Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Cragin
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
O'Keeffe
8.1
/ 10 · High
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