Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Tierra Grande Eviction Risk: Lower , Flossmoor
Tract 17031829902 ·
Cook County, IL · pop 7,171 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Tract 17031829902 sits in the Tierra Grande area of Flossmoor, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.4/10. 38% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%Stable renters 10%Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units2,672
Renter share16.1%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate9.4%
Median income$91,585
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Tierra Grande
Moderate
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 2 tracts In Flossmoor
Very High
Within county
11th percentile
#1,191 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Very Low
Within state
22th percentile
#2,555 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Flossmoor and the region
Centroid at 41.5395, -87.7276 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tierra Grande scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Flossmoor
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
9.4% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,380 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Flossmoor
2.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Flossmoor
2.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Flossmoor
2.5
How Tierra Grande compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
45%Socioeconomic
75%Household composition
93%Racial/ethnic minority
14%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
770Total filings over 15 yrs
21.35%Avg annual filing rate
41.2%Peak (2009)
75Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year2001 to 2015
Filings climbed 97% over the past 15 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
17.0%Housing insecurity
10.5%Utility-shutoff threat
18.6%Food insecurity
16.6%SNAP enrollment
9.2%Transit barriers
6.3%No health insurance
14.1%Frequent mental distress
26.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tierra Grande
It sits 2.7 points below the Cook County average of 6.1. At $1,380 a month, rents run 36% under what the rest of Flossmoor commands.
The main counterweight is tenant-organizing strength at 2.1/10. Cost burden runs 38% here against 45.6% across Cook County. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.4/10.
Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 770 evictions over 15 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2009, when 41.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 21.3% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.2/10.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031829902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031829902?
Census tract 17031829902 in the Tierra Grande neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031829902?
Median gross rent is $1,380/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031829902?
9.4% of residents in tract 17031829902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,171.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031829902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 75th, minority 93th, housing 14th.
Q5
Is tract 17031829902 considered part of Tierra Grande?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031829902 fall within Tierra Grande (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031829902?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 770 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031829902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 21.35% of renter households, peaking at 41.2% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031829902 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031829902 compare to Flossmoor overall?
Tract 17031829902 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Flossmoor at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Flossmoor; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Flossmoor
Top eight tracts in Flossmoor ranked by composite eviction-risk score.