Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #5,730 of 84,120 nationally

Riverdale Eviction Risk: High

Tract 17031821500 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,266 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 17031821500 covers part of the Riverdale area of Riverdale, IL, and scores 8.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,266 residents. The severe-burden share is 42%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
8.4
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46% Stable renters 29% Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units540
Renter share75.4%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate29.3%
Median income$36,705

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Riverdale
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Riverdale
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Riverdale and the region

Centroid at 41.6506, -87.6361 · click any tract to drill in

Why Riverdale scores 8.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Riverdale
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
29.3% poverty · this tract
7.3
Supply constraint
$1,296 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Riverdale
9.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Riverdale
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Riverdale
9.3

How Riverdale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Riverdale risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.48.4This tracttract 821500Riverdale: 7.07.0Riverdaleparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,029Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 14.84%Avg annual filing rate
  • 20.2%Peak (2002)
  • 62Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170318215002001: 72 filings (14.38/100 renter HHs)2002: 101 filings (20.17/100 renter HHs)2003: 90 filings (17.97/100 renter HHs)2004: 93 filings (18.57/100 renter HHs)2005: 98 filings (21.50/100 renter HHs)2006: 64 filings (14.04/100 renter HHs)2007: 39 filings (8.56/100 renter HHs)2008: 47 filings (10.31/100 renter HHs)2009: 58 filings (12.72/100 renter HHs)2010: 75 filings (16.97/100 renter HHs)2011: 71 filings (16.40/100 renter HHs)2012: 67 filings (15.47/100 renter HHs)2013: 58 filings (13.39/100 renter HHs)2014: 34 filings (7.85/100 renter HHs)2015: 62 filings (14.32/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Riverdale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Riverdale

Food insecurity runs 44.1% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 48.4% against 15.2% nationally.

Cost burden runs 61% here against 45.6% across Cook County. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9.4/10. Annualized rent equals 42% of average household income of $36,705, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

On the high side, housing-court posture reads 9.3/10. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.3 points.

75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.9/10.

The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The filing record is not thin: 1,029 evictions over 15 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2002, when 20.2% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 14.8% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031821500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031821500?

Census tract 17031821500 in the Riverdale neighborhood scores 8.4/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031821500?

Median gross rent is $1,296/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031821500?

29.3% of residents in tract 17031821500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,266.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031821500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 83th, minority 99th, housing 80th.
Q5

Is tract 17031821500 considered part of Riverdale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031821500 fall within Riverdale (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031821500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,029 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031821500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.84% of renter households, peaking at 20.2% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031821500 struggle to pay rent?

About 34.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031821500 compare to Riverdale overall?

Tract 17031821500 scores 8.4/10, higher than the parent city of Riverdale at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Riverdale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031821500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 5% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Riverdale

Top eight tracts in Riverdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related