Neighborhood · Ranked #22,404 of 84,120 nationally

Bernice Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lansing

Tract 17031827902 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,331 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 17031827902 sits in the Bernice neighborhood of Lansing, Illinois. It has a population of 4,331 and an eviction-risk score of 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). 70% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 32% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,315/month against a median household income of $61,862 — roughly 26% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score

5.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 10% Owners 66%

Tract context

Occupied units1,578

Renter share34.5%

SVI overall0.84

Poverty rate16.0%

Median income$61,862

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lansing and the region

Centroid at 41.5856, -87.5452 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bernice scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lansing

7.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.5

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

16.0% poverty · this tract

4.0

Supply constraint

$1,315 rent vs county FMR

2.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lansing

6.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lansing

6.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lansing

6.7

How Bernice compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

83%Socioeconomic
90%Household composition
88%Racial/ethnic minority
53%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A — Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org) — 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,089Total filings over 15 yrs
11.79%Avg annual filing rate
20.4%Peak (2004)
49Filings in 2015 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2001 — 2015

Filings dropped 36% over the past 15 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bernice. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

25.7%Housing insecurity
16.8%Utility-shutoff threat
31.9%Food insecurity
31.9%SNAP enrollment
14.7%Transit barriers
13.1%No health insurance
18.0%Frequent mental distress
33.2%Any disability

Frequently asked

About tract 17031827902

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031827902?

Census tract 17031827902 in the Bernice neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17031827902?

Median gross rent is $1,315/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031827902?

16.0% of residents in tract 17031827902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,331.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031827902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 90th, minority 88th, housing 53th.

Is tract 17031827902 considered part of Bernice?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031827902 fall within Bernice (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031827902?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,089 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031827902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.79% of renter households, peaking at 20.4% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 17031827902 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.8% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17031827902 compare to Lansing overall?

Tract 17031827902 scores 5.9/10 — right in line with the parent city of Lansing at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lansing; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17031827902 historically redlined?

Yes — this tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lansing

Top eight tracts in Lansing ranked by composite eviction-risk score.