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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally

Bernice Eviction Risk: Elevated , Lansing

Tract 17031827902 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,331 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

17031827902 is a census tract in the Bernice area of Lansing, IL. It scores 6.8/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,331. Against Cook County at 45.6%, around two-thirds of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 10% Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,578
Renter share34.5%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate16.0%
Median income$61,862

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Bernice
Very High
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In Lansing
Elevated
Within county
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#556 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Elevated
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#635 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lansing and the region

Centroid at 41.5856, -87.5452 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bernice scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lansing
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
16.0% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,315 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lansing
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lansing
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lansing
6.7

How Bernice compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bernice risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.86.8This tracttract 827902Lansing: 5.95.9Lansingparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,089Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 11.79%Avg annual filing rate
  • 20.4%Peak (2004)
  • 49Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170318279022001: 77 filings (13.41/100 renter HHs)2002: 106 filings (18.47/100 renter HHs)2003: 93 filings (16.20/100 renter HHs)2004: 117 filings (20.38/100 renter HHs)2005: 115 filings (18.67/100 renter HHs)2006: 108 filings (17.53/100 renter HHs)2007: 72 filings (11.69/100 renter HHs)2008: 62 filings (10.06/100 renter HHs)2009: 59 filings (9.58/100 renter HHs)2010: 47 filings (6.99/100 renter HHs)2011: 49 filings (7.11/100 renter HHs)2012: 36 filings (5.22/100 renter HHs)2013: 41 filings (5.95/100 renter HHs)2014: 58 filings (8.42/100 renter HHs)2015: 49 filings (7.11/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 36% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bernice. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bernice

Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. SNAP participation runs 31.9% against 15.2% nationally.

The dominant input is local political climate at 7.8/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.5/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.5/10.

Court records carry 1,089 eviction filings across 15 observed years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points.

Filings peaked in 2004 at 20.4% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 11.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #13,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031827902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031827902?

Census tract 17031827902 in the Bernice neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031827902?

Median gross rent is $1,315/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031827902?

16.0% of residents in tract 17031827902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,331.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031827902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 90th, minority 88th, housing 53th.
Q5

Is tract 17031827902 considered part of Bernice?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031827902 fall within Bernice (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031827902?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,089 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031827902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.79% of renter households, peaking at 20.4% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031827902 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031827902 compare to Lansing overall?

Tract 17031827902 scores 6.8/10, higher than the parent city of Lansing at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lansing; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031827902 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lansing

Top eight tracts in Lansing ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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