Within neighborhood
38
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
South Lynn Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031670500 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,004 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 8.1/10, tract 17031670500 in the South Lynn area of Chicago, IL reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,004 residents. The severe-burden share is 53%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 53%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units397
Renter share65.7%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate51.6%
Median income$29,856
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
93
th percentile
Very High
Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.7866, -87.6764 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Lynn scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
51.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,202 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How South Lynn compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 99%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 57%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 204Total filings over 15 yrs
- 7.77%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.7%Peak (2004)
- 15Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Lynn. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 40.8%Housing insecurity
- 28.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 54.5%Food insecurity
- 57.5%SNAP enrollment
- 26.0%Transit barriers
- 25.1%No health insurance
- 21.0%Frequent mental distress
- 44.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Lynn
80% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Cook County average of 45.6%. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. SNAP participation runs 57.5% against 15.2% nationally.
The poverty rate is 52%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Annualized rent equals 48% of average household income of $29,856, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. This is renter territory: 66% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.8/10. Disability prevalence runs 44.3% against 31.5% nationally.
At $1,202 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Chicago commands. Court records carry 204 eviction filings across 15 observed years.
Filings peaked in 2004 at 14.7% of renter households.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031670500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031670500?
Census tract 17031670500 in the South Lynn neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031670500?
Median gross rent is $1,202/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 80% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031670500?
51.6% of residents in tract 17031670500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,004.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031670500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 98th, minority 99th, housing 32th.
Q5
Is tract 17031670500 considered part of South Lynn?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031670500 fall within South Lynn (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031670500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 204 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031670500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.77% of renter households, peaking at 14.7% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031670500 struggle to pay rent?
About 40.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 28.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031670500 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031670500 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031670500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Marshall Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Auburn Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Cragin
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Jarvis Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Old Town Triangle
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Ridgeland
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Heart of Chicago
8.1
/ 10 · High
Related