Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally
Madison Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 17119400903 · Madison County, IL · pop 4,388 · 24% of tract blocks fall in Madison
Here is how census tract 17119400903, in Madison in Madison County, looks to a landlord: a 6.1/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 4,388. That is riskier than about 78% of US census tracts.
41% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $913 a month against an average household income of $49,046 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,888
Renter share33.6%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate20.2%
Median income$49,046
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
80
th percentile
High
National
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Madison and the region
Centroid at 38.6863, -90.1018 · click any tract to drill in
Why Madison scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Madison
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
20.2% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$913 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Madison
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Madison
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Madison
7.8
How Madison compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 48%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 538Total filings over 11 yrs
- 9.10%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.7%Peak (2007)
- 34Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 32% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.0%Housing insecurity
- 11.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.1%Food insecurity
- 22.7%SNAP enrollment
- 11.3%Transit barriers
- 12.1%No health insurance
- 19.7%Frequent mental distress
- 37.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Madison
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Madison, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Madison County average of 5.6 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 68th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 18.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 17119400903
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17119400903?
Census tract 17119400903 in Madison scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17119400903?
Median gross rent is $913/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17119400903?
20.2% of residents in tract 17119400903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,388.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17119400903?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 72th, minority 54th, housing 48th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17119400903?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 538 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 17119400903 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.10% of renter households, peaking at 14.7% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 17119400903 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 17119400903 compare to Madison overall?
Tract 17119400903 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Madison at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Madison; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 17119400903 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Madison
Top eight tracts in Madison ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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