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Census Tract · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Harvard Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17111870301 · McHenry County, IL · pop 4,812 · 37% of tract blocks fall in Harvard

With a score of 5.9/10, tract 17111870301 in Harvard ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,812 residents. That is riskier than about 72% of US census tracts.

58% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,185 a month while the average household earns $68,199 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 39% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 16% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,762
Renter share39.3%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate18.4%
Median income$68,199

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Harvard
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 64 tracts In McHenry County
Very High
Within state
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#1,443 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
National
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#39,389 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Harvard and the region

Centroid at 42.4569, -88.6560 · click any tract to drill in

Why Harvard scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Harvard
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
18.4% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,185 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Harvard
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Harvard
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Harvard
5.9

How Harvard compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Harvard risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 870301Harvard: 4.54.5Harvardparent cityCounty: 2.02.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Harvard

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Harvard, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the McHenry County average of 5.0 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 17.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17111870301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17111870301?

Census tract 17111870301 in Harvard scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17111870301?

Median gross rent is $1,185/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17111870301?

18.4% of residents in tract 17111870301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,812.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17111870301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 88th, minority 56th, housing 24th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 17111870301 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 17111870301 compare to Harvard overall?

Tract 17111870301 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Harvard at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Harvard; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Harvard

Top eight tracts in Harvard ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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