Census Tract · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Crystal Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17111871202 · McHenry County, IL · pop 5,491 · 95% of tract blocks fall in Crystal Lake

Census tract 17111871202 covers part of Crystal Lake, IL, and scores 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 54%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

5.6

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 7% Owners 68%

Tract context

Occupied units1,969

Renter share32.5%

SVI overall0.51

Poverty rate20.8%

Median income$69,327

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Crystal Lake and the region

Centroid at 42.2194, -88.3295 · click any tract to drill in

Why Crystal Lake scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Crystal Lake

5.4

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.9

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

20.8% poverty · this tract

5.2

Supply constraint

$1,292 rent vs county FMR

2.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Crystal Lake

6.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.2

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Crystal Lake

5.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Crystal Lake

5.0

How Crystal Lake compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 51

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

55%Socioeconomic
68%Household composition
49%Racial/ethnic minority
31%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

14.5%Housing insecurity
8.7%Utility-shutoff threat
17.6%Food insecurity
15.7%SNAP enrollment
9.0%Transit barriers
12.2%No health insurance
17.8%Frequent mental distress
30.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Crystal Lake

Against McHenry County at 40.1%, 77% of renters here are cost-burdened. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 2.3/10.

Against the McHenry County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Average gross rent is $1,292, 12% below the Crystal Lake average. On the national scale it lands near the 73rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 5.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $69,327. 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17111871202

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17111871202?

Census tract 17111871202 in Crystal Lake scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17111871202?

Median gross rent is $1,292/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17111871202?

20.8% of residents in tract 17111871202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,491.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17111871202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 68th, minority 49th, housing 31th.

What share of households in tract 17111871202 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17111871202 compare to Crystal Lake overall?

Tract 17111871202 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Crystal Lake at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Crystal Lake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Crystal Lake

Top eight tracts in Crystal Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.