Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Island Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 17111870812 · McHenry County, IL · pop 4,316 · 43% of tract blocks fall in Island Lake
Tract 17111870812 sits in Island Lake, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.3/10. It is home to 4,316 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,655
Renter share20.9%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate3.7%
Median income$93,060
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
National
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Island Lake and the region
Centroid at 42.2633, -88.2094 · click any tract to drill in
Why Island Lake scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Island Lake
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
3.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,839 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Island Lake
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Island Lake
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Island Lake
5.3
How Island Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 10
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 22%Household composition
- 30%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.8%Housing insecurity
- 6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.3%Food insecurity
- 10.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.5%Transit barriers
- 8.4%No health insurance
- 16.8%Frequent mental distress
- 26.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Island Lake
Cost burden runs 47% here against 40.1% across McHenry County. The severe-burden share is 8%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the national scale it lands near the 47th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 1.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the McHenry County average of 4.3 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,839, close to the Island Lake average. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $93,060.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17111870812
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17111870812?
Census tract 17111870812 in Island Lake scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17111870812?
Median gross rent is $1,839/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17111870812?
3.7% of residents in tract 17111870812 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,316.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17111870812?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 22th, minority 30th, housing 2th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 17111870812 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 17111870812 compare to Island Lake overall?
Tract 17111870812 scores 4.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Island Lake at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Island Lake; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Island Lake
Top eight tracts in Island Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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