Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally

Bellchase Eviction Risk: Lower , Lake in the Hills

Tract 17111871109 · McHenry County, IL · pop 5,314 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 17111871109 sits in the Bellchase area of Lake in the Hills, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.1/10. It is home to 5,314 residents. Average gross rent is $2,317, 37% above the Lake in the Hills average.

Risk score

3.1

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 9% Owners 87%

Tract context

Occupied units1,626

Renter share13.4%

SVI overall0.02

Poverty rate3.2%

Median income$136,080

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake in the Hills and the region

Centroid at 42.1905, -88.3935 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bellchase scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lake in the Hills

5.4

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.9

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

3.2% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$2,317 rent vs county FMR

8.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lake in the Hills

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lake in the Hills

3.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lake in the Hills

5.1

How Bellchase compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

11%Socioeconomic
19%Household composition
44%Racial/ethnic minority
0%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.4%Housing insecurity
5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
9.9%Food insecurity
7.6%SNAP enrollment
5.7%Transit barriers
6.4%No health insurance
16.2%Frequent mental distress
21.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bellchase

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. The voucher gap is 31.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the high side, supply constraint reads 8.2/10.

Against McHenry County at 40.1%, 32% of renters here are cost-burdened. Against the McHenry County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Food insecurity runs 9.9% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 7.6% against 15.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 22nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 2.0 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17111871109

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17111871109?

Census tract 17111871109 in the Bellchase neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17111871109?

Median gross rent is $2,317/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17111871109?

3.2% of residents in tract 17111871109 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,314.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17111871109?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 19th, minority 44th, housing 0th.

Is tract 17111871109 considered part of Bellchase?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17111871109 fall within Bellchase (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17111871109 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17111871109 compare to Lake in the Hills overall?

Tract 17111871109 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Lake in the Hills at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake in the Hills; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lake in the Hills

Top eight tracts in Lake in the Hills ranked by composite eviction-risk score.