Census Tract · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Moline Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17161021500 · Rock Island County, IL · pop 4,539

Census tract 17161021500 covers part of Moline, IL, and scores 4.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,539 residents. At $1,347 a month, rents run 50% over what the rest of Moline commands.

Risk score

4.5

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 6% Owners 86%

Tract context

Occupied units2,050

Renter share14.5%

SVI overall0.22

Poverty rate17.6%

Median income$78,168

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Moline and the region

Centroid at 41.5009, -90.4895 · click any tract to drill in

Why Moline scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Moline

6.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.6

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

17.6% poverty · this tract

4.4

Supply constraint

$1,347 rent vs county FMR

8.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Moline

6.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Moline

7.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Moline

6.6

How Moline compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 22

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

43%Socioeconomic
50%Household composition
35%Racial/ethnic minority
5%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.9%Housing insecurity
8.4%Utility-shutoff threat
16.2%Food insecurity
16.0%SNAP enrollment
8.5%Transit barriers
9.8%No health insurance
17.5%Frequent mental distress
31.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Moline

Cost burden runs 56% here against 40.3% across Rock Island County. Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

The voucher gap is 31.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The dominant input is supply constraint at 8.1/10.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.2/10. Nationally it ranks #41,206 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 14% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Rock Island County average of 4.6 closely.

Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $78,168.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17161021500

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17161021500?

Census tract 17161021500 in Moline scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17161021500?

Median gross rent is $1,347/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17161021500?

17.6% of residents in tract 17161021500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,539.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17161021500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 50th, minority 35th, housing 5th.

What share of households in tract 17161021500 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17161021500 compare to Moline overall?

Tract 17161021500 scores 4.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Moline at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Moline eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Moline

Top eight tracts in Moline ranked by composite eviction-risk score.