Sherwood Eviction Risk: Lower , Jerome

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.5/10.

Against the Sangamon County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. Food insecurity runs 7.2% against 17.8% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $94,477, annual rent is just 12%. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 2.1 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $959, close to the Springfield average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.