Shiloh Eviction Risk: Lower

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.1/10. The voucher gap is 33.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Cost burden runs roughly one in three here against 44.8% across St. Clair County. On the high side, supply constraint reads 8.3/10. 66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

It sits 1.5 points below the St. Clair County average of 4.5. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.4/10. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 2.1 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.