3 census tracts · pop 5,307 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.1/10
· range 5.7–7
Vermilion Heights spans 3 census tracts of Danville, IL, population 5,307. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 6.1/10, Elevated tier. 43% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Danville rate of 30.0%.
What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. 16% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
SNAP participation is 29.6% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 5.7 to 7, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. The poverty rate is 20%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.6/10. At $723 a month, rents sit 15% under what the rest of Danville commands. Running hot is housing-court posture at 7.3/10.
Food insecurity affects 26.8% of adults, 9.0 points above the national rate. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $35,814. 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 6.1 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
6.1
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Vermilion Heights vs DanvilleHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
43.4%+45%
Danville: 30.0%
Average gross rent
$723-15%
Danville: $846
Average HH income
$35,814-19%
Danville: $44,239
Poverty rate
20.1%-20%
Danville: 25.1%
Renter share
42.9%+0%
Danville: 42.7%
Geographic context
Risk heat across Vermilion Heights and the region
Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 5.7–7
Why Vermilion Heights scores 6.1
9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Rent control risk
43% of income on rent · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
43% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Economic stress
20.1% below poverty line · Range 3.6–8.4 across tracts
5.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–3.4 across tracts
2.6
Risk score comparison
Vermilion Heights vs. parent city, state, U.S.
Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).
Variance across tracts
How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Vermilion Heights?
Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.
Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.3 points from
5.7 to
7.
Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority28%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport73%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Vermilion Heights
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
18.4%Housing insecurity
13.1%Utility shutoff threat
25.6%Food insecurity
28.2%SNAP enrollment
12.0%No health insurance
39.6%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Vermilion Heights
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Vermilion Heights?
Vermilion Heights scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Vermilion Heights compare to Danville overall?
Vermilion Heights scores 0.5 points higher than Danville overall (5.6/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $723 vs $846.
Q3
What is the average rent in Vermilion Heights?
Average gross rent in Vermilion Heights is $723/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Vermilion Heights residents are renters?
43% of Vermilion Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Danville). The neighborhood has 5,307 residents.
Q5
Is Vermilion Heights a high social-vulnerability area?
Vermilion Heights sits in the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Vermilion Heights have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Vermilion Heights is census tract 17183000100 (score 7/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.7 to 7, a spread of 1.3 points.
Q7
How safe is Vermilion Heights for landlords?
Vermilion Heights carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.1/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Danville as a whole (5.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Vermilion Heights?
Vermilion Heights has 5,336 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (78.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (13.9%), Other / Multiracial (3.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
