Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally
Wilmington Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 17197883402 · Will County, IL · pop 1,846 · 39% of tract blocks fall in Wilmington
Census tract 17197883402 covers part of Wilmington, IL, and scores 4.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,846 residents. 46% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units797
Renter share30.2%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate11.7%
Median income$93,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
47
th percentile
Moderate
National
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Wilmington and the region
Centroid at 41.3370, -88.2018 · click any tract to drill in
Why Wilmington scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Wilmington
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
11.7% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,260 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wilmington
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wilmington
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wilmington
4.4
How Wilmington compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 10%Household composition
- 29%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.9%Housing insecurity
- 7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.1%Food insecurity
- 12.7%SNAP enrollment
- 7.3%Transit barriers
- 7.8%No health insurance
- 18.1%Frequent mental distress
- 29.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Wilmington
Against Will County at 40.4%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened. Average gross rent is $1,260, 42% above the Wilmington average. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 2.2/10.
On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.7/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.9/10.
That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.2/10. Against average income of $93,750, annual rent is just 16%.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Will County average of 4.2 closely.
30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 17197883402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17197883402?
Census tract 17197883402 in Wilmington scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17197883402?
Median gross rent is $1,260/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17197883402?
11.7% of residents in tract 17197883402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,846.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17197883402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 10th, minority 29th, housing 38th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 17197883402 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 17197883402 compare to Wilmington overall?
Tract 17197883402 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Wilmington at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wilmington; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Wilmington
Top eight tracts in Wilmington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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