Tract 18039000803 Eviction Risk: Lower

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2/10.

On the softer side, local political climate reads 2/10. SNAP participation runs 5.9% against 15.2% nationally.

It sits 0.9 points below the Elkhart County average of 3.9. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3/10.

Against average income of $95,165, annual rent is just 15%. Statewide the IN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Model confidence here is 65%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent runs $1,175 a month.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.