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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Morningside Eviction Risk: Elevated , Gary

Tract 18089041500 · Lake County, IN · pop 1,494 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 18089041500 sits in the Morningside area of Gary eviction risk, IN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6/10. 45% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 10% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units641
Renter share54.8%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate44.3%
Median income$30,727

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Morningside
Low
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#13 of 33 tracts In Gary
Elevated
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#23 of 131 tracts In Lake County
High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 1,693 tracts In Indiana
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Gary and the region

Centroid at 41.5305, -87.3544 · click any tract to drill in

Why Morningside scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gary
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
44.3% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$899 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gary
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gary
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gary
8.7

How Morningside compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Morningside risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.0This tracttract 0415004.6Garyparent city4.4Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Morningside. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Morningside

Cost burden runs 82% here against 43.0% across Lake County. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. SNAP participation runs 42.0% against 15.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 44%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.3/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 29.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $30,727, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 8.7/10.

It sits 1.6 points above the Lake County average of 4.4. At $899 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Gary commands.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 18089041500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18089041500?

Census tract 18089041500 in the Morningside neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 18089041500?

Median gross rent is $899/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 82% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 18089041500?

44.3% of residents in tract 18089041500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,494.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 18089041500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 82th, minority 84th, housing 87th.
Q5

Is tract 18089041500 considered part of Morningside?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 18089041500 fall within Morningside (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 18089041500 struggle to pay rent?

About 32.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 29.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 18089041500 compare to Gary overall?

Tract 18089041500 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Gary at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gary eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 18089041500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 6% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gary

Top eight tracts in Gary ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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