Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
Cardnial Ridge Eviction Risk: Moderate , Coralville
Tract 19103000307 · Johnson County, IA · pop 3,306 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 19103000307 (Cardnial Ridge in Coralville, Iowa) comes in at 5.2/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 46% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 61% of renter households, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $926 a month against an average household income of $37,213 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 76% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units1,575
Renter share76.0%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate9.3%
Median income$37,213
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Coralville and the region
Centroid at 41.6814, -91.5867 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cardnial Ridge scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Coralville
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
9.3% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$926 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Coralville
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Coralville
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Coralville
6.7
How Cardnial Ridge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 70%Socioeconomic
- 42%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.9%Housing insecurity
- 11.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.1%Food insecurity
- 17.9%SNAP enrollment
- 10.8%Transit barriers
- 8.8%No health insurance
- 18.2%Frequent mental distress
- 27.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cardnial Ridge
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Coralville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Johnson County average of 4.7 and above the Iowa statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 14.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 19103000307
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19103000307?
Census tract 19103000307 in the Cardnial Ridge neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19103000307?
Median gross rent is $926/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19103000307?
9.3% of residents in tract 19103000307 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,306.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19103000307?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 42th, minority 69th, housing 78th.
Q5
Is tract 19103000307 considered part of Cardnial Ridge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19103000307 fall within Cardnial Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 19103000307 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 19103000307 compare to Coralville overall?
Tract 19103000307 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Coralville at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Coralville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Coralville
Top eight tracts in Coralville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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