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Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Union Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 21015070316 · Boone County, KY · pop 6,522 · 61% of tract blocks fall in Union

21015070316 is a census tract in Union, KY. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 6,522 residents. The severe-burden share is 34%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 8% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,814
Renter share15.0%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate4.9%
Median income$113,516

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Union
Very Low
Within county
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#26 of 30 tracts In Boone County
Very Low
Within state
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#959 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Low
National
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Union and the region

Centroid at 38.9578, -84.6682 · click any tract to drill in

Why Union scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Union
3.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.2
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
4.9% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,783 rent vs county FMR
8.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union
3.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union
3.2

How Union compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Union risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0703163.2Unionparent city3.6Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 7

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Union

The voucher gap is 38.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 8.9/10. 44% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Boone County average of 31.7%.

Running cool, economic stress reads 1.2/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.6/10. Statewide the KY average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

It tracks the Boone County average of 3.5 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 21015070316

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21015070316?

Census tract 21015070316 in Union scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21015070316?

Median gross rent is $1,783/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21015070316?

4.9% of residents in tract 21015070316 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,522.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21015070316?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 47th, minority 29th, housing 12th.
Q5

How does tract 21015070316 compare to Union overall?

Tract 21015070316 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Union at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Union

Top eight tracts in Union ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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