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Census Tract · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally

St. Matthews Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 21111010004 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 4,231 · 43% of tract blocks fall in St. Matthews

Census tract 21111010004 runs through St. Matthews. With 4,231 residents, it scores 5.2/10 for landlords. It lands near the 46th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

48% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,175 monthly, set against $56,000 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 65% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 34% Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units2,062
Renter share64.5%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate10.2%
Median income$56,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 7 tracts In St. Matthews
Very High
Within county
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#113 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
Moderate
Within state
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#906 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Low
National
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#48,083 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Matthews and the region

Centroid at 38.2660, -85.6122 · click any tract to drill in

Why St. Matthews scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from St. Matthews
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
10.2% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,175 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Matthews
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Matthews
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Matthews
1.9

How St. Matthews compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
St. Matthews risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.63.6This tracttract 010004St. Matthews: 2.42.4St. Matthewsparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,678Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 14.33%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.1%Peak (2002)
  • 93Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 211110100042002: 256 filings (17.07/100 renter HHs)2003: 220 filings (14.67/100 renter HHs)2004: 200 filings (13.34/100 renter HHs)2005: 235 filings (18.70/100 renter HHs)2006: 190 filings (15.12/100 renter HHs)2007: 169 filings (13.45/100 renter HHs)2008: 171 filings (13.61/100 renter HHs)2009: 173 filings (13.77/100 renter HHs)2010: 227 filings (16.19/100 renter HHs)2011: 256 filings (19.77/100 renter HHs)2012: 215 filings (16.60/100 renter HHs)2013: 151 filings (11.66/100 renter HHs)2014: 122 filings (9.42/100 renter HHs)2015: 93 filings (7.18/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 64% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in St. Matthews

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 3.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Matthews eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,678 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 14.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 17.1% of renter households in 2002.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 41st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111010004

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111010004?

Census tract 21111010004 in St. Matthews scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111010004?

Median gross rent is $1,175/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111010004?

10.2% of residents in tract 21111010004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,231.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111010004?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 22th, minority 42th, housing 65th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111010004?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,678 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111010004 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.33% of renter households, peaking at 17.1% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 21111010004 compare to St. Matthews overall?

Tract 21111010004 scores 3.6/10, higher than the parent city of St. Matthews at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Matthews eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Matthews

Top eight tracts in St. Matthews ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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