Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Tract 21151010103 Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 21151010103 ·
Madison County, KY · pop 3,950
With a score of 3/10, tract 21151010103 in Madison County, KY reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,950 residents. 61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Madison County average of 36.3%.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%Stable renters 3%Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,339
Renter share8.5%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$141,898
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within county
3th percentile
#30 of 31 tracts In Madison County
Very Low
Within state
27th percentile
#959 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Low
National
20th percentile
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Madison County and the region
Centroid at 37.8438, -84.3500 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tract 21151010103 scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
2.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,073 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
State baseline
2.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Tract 21151010103 compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 16
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The clearest offset is state political climate at 2.1/10.
On the softer side, local political climate reads 2.1/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.1/10.
Against the Madison County average of 3.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. The voucher gap is 13.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 9% of average household income of $141,898, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Statewide the KY average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 21151010103
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21151010103?
Census tract 21151010103 in Madison County scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 21151010103?
Median gross rent is $1,073/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 21151010103?
11.4% of residents in tract 21151010103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,950.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 21151010103?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 8th, minority 15th, housing 38th.