Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
University Shadows Eviction Risk: Moderate , Baton Rouge
Tract 22033004031 ·
East Baton Rouge Parish, LA · pop 5,577 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 22033004031 covers part of the University Shadows area of Baton Rouge, LA, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,577 residents. Severe burden reaches 53%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%Stable renters 18%Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units2,390
Renter share54.1%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate40.4%
Median income$40,071
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In University Shadows
Moderate
Within parent city
70th percentile
#22 of 70 tracts In Baton Rouge
Elevated
Within county
93th percentile
#9 of 108 tracts In East Baton Rouge Parish
Very High
Within state
83th percentile
#237 of 1,379 tracts In Louisiana
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Baton Rouge and the region
Centroid at 30.3544, -91.1568 · click any tract to drill in
Why University Shadows scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Baton Rouge
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Louisiana legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
40.4% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,263 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baton Rouge
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baton Rouge
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baton Rouge
3.5
How University Shadows compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
78%Socioeconomic
5%Household composition
60%Racial/ethnic minority
21%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
17.8%Housing insecurity
13.2%Utility-shutoff threat
24.2%Food insecurity
19.8%SNAP enrollment
14.8%Transit barriers
9.0%No health insurance
24.7%Frequent mental distress
34.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in University Shadows
The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. Cost burden runs 67% here against 50.3% across East Baton Rouge Parish. The poverty rate is 40%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income of $40,071, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.3/10. Average gross rent is $1,263, 18% above the Baton Rouge average.
It sits 1.1 points above the East Baton Rouge Parish average of 4.3. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the LA average is 4.4, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 22033004031
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 22033004031?
Census tract 22033004031 in the University Shadows neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 22033004031?
Median gross rent is $1,263/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 22033004031?
40.4% of residents in tract 22033004031 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,577.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 22033004031?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 5th, minority 60th, housing 21th.
Q5
Is tract 22033004031 considered part of University Shadows?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 22033004031 fall within University Shadows (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 22033004031 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 22033004031 compare to Baton Rouge overall?
Tract 22033004031 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Baton Rouge at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baton Rouge eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Baton Rouge
Top eight tracts in Baton Rouge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.