Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Estelle Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 22051027703 · Jefferson Parish, LA · pop 3,623 · 66% of tract blocks fall in Estelle
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 22051027703 in Estelle, LA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,623 residents. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9.5/10.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,242
Renter share38.2%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate23.6%
Median income$45,511
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Estelle and the region
Centroid at 29.8566, -90.1153 · click any tract to drill in
Why Estelle scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Estelle
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Louisiana legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
23.6% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$848 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Estelle
9.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Estelle
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Estelle
8.5
How Estelle compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 89%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 27.6%Housing insecurity
- 20.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 36.6%Food insecurity
- 32.0%SNAP enrollment
- 17.8%Transit barriers
- 13.6%No health insurance
- 22.5%Frequent mental distress
- 41.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Estelle
Average gross rent is $848, 41% below the Estelle average. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.
Food insecurity runs 36.6% against 17.8% nationally. Cost burden runs 37% here against 47.9% across Jefferson Parish.
Running hot, local political climate reads 8.6/10. The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 20.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
It sits 1.1 points above the Jefferson Parish average of 4.3. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the LA average is 4.4, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 22051027703
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 22051027703?
Census tract 22051027703 in Estelle scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 22051027703?
Median gross rent is $848/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 22051027703?
23.6% of residents in tract 22051027703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,623.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 22051027703?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 91th, minority 79th, housing 63th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 22051027703 struggle to pay rent?
About 27.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 22051027703 compare to Estelle overall?
Tract 22051027703 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Estelle at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Estelle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Estelle
Top eight tracts in Estelle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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