Gretna Eviction Risk: Elevated

It sits 3.0 points above the Jefferson Parish average of 4.3. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. Food insecurity runs 42.2% against 17.8% nationally.

The poverty rate is 43%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Set annual rent against average income of $31,483 and the ratio lands at 47%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.6/10.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.2/10. Cost burden runs 58% here against 47.9% across Jefferson Parish.

68% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 23.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

At $1,221 a month, rents run 15% over what the rest of Gretna commands. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for New Orleans. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.9/10.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.