Harvey Eviction Risk: Elevated

Against the Jefferson Parish average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 3.0 points. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.

The poverty rate is 43%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.4/10. Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income of $35,119, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Housing insecurity runs 32.9% against 14.2% nationally. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 9.2/10. Cost burden runs 59% here against 47.9% across Jefferson Parish.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 25.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. 72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 10/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the LA average is 4.4, so this tract runs 2.9 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.