2 census tracts · pop 7,229 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10
· range 4.3–6.8
Historic District is a 2-tract neighborhood of Natchitoches, LA, population 7,229. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.5/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint is housing-court posture at 9.1/10. 26% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The 2 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 4.3 to 6.8, a 2.5-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.
Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 8.8/10. 45% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, higher than the Natchitoches rate of 37.6%. The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.
16.0% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Food insecurity affects 27.7% of adults, 9.9 points above the national rate. Rent takes 18% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.
Average gross rent runs $798, close to the Natchitoches average. 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.5 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Historic District vs NatchitochesHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
45.1%+20%
Natchitoches: 37.6%
Average gross rent
$7980%
Natchitoches: $802
Average HH income
$51,872+34%
Natchitoches: $38,731
Poverty rate
26.0%-25%
Natchitoches: 34.8%
Renter share
44.3%-24%
Natchitoches: 58.4%
Geographic context
Risk heat across Historic District and the region
Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.3–6.8
Why Historic District scores 5.5
9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts
4.8
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 8.8–8.8 across tracts
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
44% renter households · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts
9.1
Economic stress
26.0% below poverty line · Range 3.1–10.0 across tracts
6.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.4–3.1 across tracts
2.8
Risk score comparison
Historic District vs. parent city, state, U.S.
Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).
Census tracts
2 tracts in Historic District
Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority70%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport74%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Historic District
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
19.3%Housing insecurity
15.5%Utility shutoff threat
26.9%Food insecurity
25.5%SNAP enrollment
8.6%No health insurance
40.9%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Historic District
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Historic District?
Historic District scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Historic District compare to Natchitoches overall?
Historic District scores 0.1 points lower than Natchitoches overall (5.6/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 38% citywide. Average rent: $798 vs $802.
Q3
What is the average rent in Historic District?
Average gross rent in Historic District is $798/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Historic District residents are renters?
44% of Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Natchitoches). The neighborhood has 7,229 residents.
Q5
Is Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?
Historic District sits in the 68th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Historic District have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Historic District is census tract 22069000700 (score 6.8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.3 to 6.8, a spread of 2.5 points.
Q7
How safe is Historic District for landlords?
Historic District carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Natchitoches as a whole (5.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Historic District?
Historic District has 6,876 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (45.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (43.1%), Hispanic / Latino (7.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
