Neighborhood · Natchitoches, LA

Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 7,229 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.6/10 · range 4.8–6.6

Historic District is a black-white neighborhood in Natchitoches with 2 census tracts and a population of 7,229 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 45% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 26% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $798/month sits 0% lower than the Natchitoches citywide average ($802).

Risk score

5.6

Moderate

2 tracts · population-weighted

Historic District vs Natchitoches How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

45.1% +20%

Natchitoches: 37.6%

Average gross rent

$798 0%

Natchitoches: $802

Average HH income

$51,872 +34%

Natchitoches: $38,731

Poverty rate

26.0% -25%

Natchitoches: 34.8%

Renter share

44.3% -24%

Natchitoches: 58.4%

Geographic context

Risk heat across Historic District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.8–6.6

Why Historic District scores 5.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts

2.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts

4.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts

4.8

Rent control risk

45% of income on rent · Range 8.8–8.8 across tracts

8.8

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts

1.9

Tenant organizing strength

44% renter households · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts

9.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts

9.1

Economic stress

26.0% below poverty line · Range 3.1–10.0 across tracts

6.3

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.4–3.1 across tracts

2.8

Risk score comparison

Historic District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

2 tracts in Historic District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
22069000700	6.6	3,397	50%	$756
22069000500	4.8	3,832	41%	$835

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 68

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 64%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 45%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 70%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 74%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Historic District

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

19.3%Housing insecurity
15.5%Utility shutoff threat
26.9%Food insecurity
25.5%SNAP enrollment
8.6%No health insurance
40.9%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Historic District

What is the eviction-risk score for Historic District?

Historic District scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Historic District compare to Natchitoches overall?

Historic District scores 2.7 points higher than Natchitoches overall (2.9/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 38% citywide. Average rent: $798 vs $802.

What is the average rent in Historic District?

Average gross rent in Historic District is $798/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Historic District residents are renters?

44% of Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Natchitoches). The neighborhood has 7,229 residents.

Is Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?

Historic District sits in the 68th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Historic District have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Historic District is census tract 22069000700 (score 6.6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.8 to 6.6, a spread of 1.8 points.

How safe is Historic District for landlords?

Historic District carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Natchitoches as a whole (2.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Historic District?

Historic District has 6,876 residents (Black-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (45.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (43.1%), Hispanic / Latino (7.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

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