Abbeville Residential Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated

What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. The poverty rate is 38%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot is economic stress at 9.2/10.

21.5% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Sitting well above the midpoint is housing-court posture at 8.9/10.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 26.7% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. 14% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

At $748 a month, rents sit 10% under what the rest of Abbeville commands. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Its 2 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $28,078. 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

With little internal variation, 6/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.