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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally

Furnace Branch Eviction Risk: Moderate , Ferndale

Tract 24003750804 · Anne Arundel County, MD · pop 4,196 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 24003750804 covers part of the Furnace Branch area of Ferndale, MD, and scores 5.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,196. 68% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Anne Arundel County average of 44.5%.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 5% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,519
Renter share14.2%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate1.5%
Median income$80,457

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Furnace Branch
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Ferndale
Moderate
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#36 of 129 tracts In Anne Arundel County
Elevated
Within state
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#571 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Ferndale and the region

Centroid at 39.1815, -76.6227 · click any tract to drill in

Why Furnace Branch scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Ferndale
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
1.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,742 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ferndale
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ferndale
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ferndale
3.5

How Furnace Branch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Furnace Branch risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.9This tracttract 7508045.2Ferndaleparent city5.1Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 50

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Furnace Branch

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.9/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.

Running hot, local political climate reads 8.9/10. At $1,742 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Ferndale commands. Against the Anne Arundel County average of 5.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 14% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $80,457.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 24003750804

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24003750804?

Census tract 24003750804 in the Furnace Branch neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24003750804?

Median gross rent is $1,742/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24003750804?

1.5% of residents in tract 24003750804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,196.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24003750804?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 65th, minority 53th, housing 44th.
Q5

Is tract 24003750804 considered part of Furnace Branch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24003750804 fall within Furnace Branch (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24003750804 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24003750804 compare to Ferndale overall?

Tract 24003750804 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Ferndale at 5.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ferndale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 24003750804 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Ferndale

Top eight tracts in Ferndale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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