Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally
Villages of Dorchester Eviction Risk: Elevated , Severn
Tract 24003740107 · Anne Arundel County, MD · pop 3,768 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 24003740107 sits in the Villages of Dorchester area of Severn eviction risk, MD, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.3/10. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.9/10.
Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,614
Renter share51.4%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate13.4%
Median income$143,302
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
69
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Severn and the region
Centroid at 39.1588, -76.7305 · click any tract to drill in
Why Villages of Dorchester scores 6.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Severn
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
13.4% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$2,268 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Severn
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Severn
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Severn
4.5
How Villages of Dorchester compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 21
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 21%Socioeconomic
- 8%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.8%Housing insecurity
- 7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.4%Food insecurity
- 8.7%SNAP enrollment
- 6.8%Transit barriers
- 5.9%No health insurance
- 14.6%Frequent mental distress
- 20.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Villages of Dorchester
On the high side, local political climate reads 8.9/10. Against Anne Arundel County at 44.5%, roughly one in three of renters here are cost-burdened.
The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. It sits 1.2 points above the Anne Arundel County average of 5.1.
The voucher gap is 15.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Nationally it ranks #16,571 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $2,268, close to the Severn average.
Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $143,302. 51% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 24003740107
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24003740107?
Census tract 24003740107 in the Villages of Dorchester neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24003740107?
Median gross rent is $2,268/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24003740107?
13.4% of residents in tract 24003740107 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,768.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24003740107?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 8th, minority 80th, housing 32th.
Q5
Is tract 24003740107 considered part of Villages of Dorchester?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24003740107 fall within Villages of Dorchester (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24003740107 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24003740107 compare to Severn overall?
Tract 24003740107 scores 6.3/10, higher than the parent city of Severn at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Severn eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Severn
Top eight tracts in Severn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MD
24003740204
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
24003740105
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
Provinces
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
Willowbend
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
24003751400
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Willowbend
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Highmeadow Hills
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
24003740303
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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