Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally
Baltimore Peninsula Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 24510240400 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 2,645 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
The Baltimore Peninsula neighborhood of Baltimore anchors census tract 24510240400, which lands at 6.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 30% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,278 a month while the average household earns $162,500 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,332
Renter share32.6%
SVI overall0.00
Poverty rate5.7%
Median income$162,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
6
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
6
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
71
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Baltimore and the region
Centroid at 39.2647, -76.5991 · click any tract to drill in
Why Baltimore Peninsula scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Baltimore
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
5.7% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$2,278 rent vs county FMR
6.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baltimore
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baltimore
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baltimore
6.0
How Baltimore Peninsula compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 0
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 1%Socioeconomic
- 0%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 11%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 24%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.3%Housing insecurity
- 4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.4%Food insecurity
- 4.4%SNAP enrollment
- 4.6%Transit barriers
- 4.9%No health insurance
- 15.6%Frequent mental distress
- 17.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Baltimore Peninsula
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 6.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Baltimore City County average of 7.1 and in line with the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 24% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24510240400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510240400?
Census tract 24510240400 in the Baltimore Peninsula neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24510240400?
Median gross rent is $2,278/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24510240400?
5.7% of residents in tract 24510240400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,645.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24510240400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 0th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 0th, minority 25th, housing 11th.
Q5
Is tract 24510240400 considered part of Baltimore Peninsula?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510240400 fall within Baltimore Peninsula (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24510240400 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24510240400 compare to Baltimore overall?
Tract 24510240400 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Baltimore at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 24510240400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 24% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore
Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related