Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

Oakenshawe Eviction Risk: High , Baltimore

Tract 24510120202 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 4,908 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 24510120202 covers part of the Oakenshawe area of Baltimore, MD, and scores 8/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 41%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 47% Stable renters 33% Owners 20%

Tract context

Occupied units1,539

Renter share80.5%

SVI overall0.58

Poverty rate38.0%

Median income$31,117

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Baltimore and the region

Centroid at 39.3287, -76.6194 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oakenshawe scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Baltimore

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.8

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

38.0% poverty · this tract

9.5

Supply constraint

$1,285 rent vs county FMR

1.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Baltimore

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Baltimore

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Baltimore

6.0

How Oakenshawe compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 58

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

75%Socioeconomic
1%Household composition
70%Racial/ethnic minority
93%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
27%Grade B
6%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.8%Housing insecurity
9.6%Utility-shutoff threat
23.9%Food insecurity
17.9%SNAP enrollment
14.3%Transit barriers
9.3%No health insurance
22.7%Frequent mental distress
30.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oakenshawe

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 10/10. Set annual rent against average income of $31,117 and the ratio lands at 50%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 9.5/10. The poverty rate is 38%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 81% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.8/10. 59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Baltimore City average of 50.2%.

Against the Baltimore City average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Baltimore. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.2/10. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.5 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 24510120202

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510120202?

Census tract 24510120202 in the Oakenshawe neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24510120202?

Median gross rent is $1,285/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24510120202?

38.0% of residents in tract 24510120202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,908.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24510120202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 1th, minority 70th, housing 93th.

Is tract 24510120202 considered part of Oakenshawe?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510120202 fall within Oakenshawe (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24510120202 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24510120202 compare to Baltimore overall?

Tract 24510120202 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Baltimore at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 24510120202 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore

Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.