Neighborhood · Baltimore, MD

Pen Lucy Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 3,770 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.5/10 · range 6.5–6.5

Pen Lucy is a black (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Baltimore with 1 census tract and a population of 3,770 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.5/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 54% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 25% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,083/month sits 19% lower than the Baltimore citywide average ($1,331).

Risk score

6.5

Elevated

1 tracts · population-weighted

Pen Lucy vs Baltimore How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

53.6% +68%

Baltimore: 32.0%

Average gross rent

$1,083 -19%

Baltimore: $1,331

Average HH income

$62,176 +4%

Baltimore: $59,623

Poverty rate

17.5% -13%

Baltimore: 20.1%

Renter share

45.5% -13%

Baltimore: 52.5%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Pen Lucy and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.5–6.5

Why Pen Lucy scores 6.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.8–8.8 across tracts

8.8

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts

7.0

Rent control risk

54% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

46% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Economic stress

17.5% below poverty line · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts

4.4

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Risk score comparison

Pen Lucy vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Pen Lucy

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
24510090100	6.5	3,770	54%	$1,083

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 76

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 67%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 89%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 91%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 47%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Pen Lucy

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

26.1%Housing insecurity
19.0%Utility shutoff threat
31.4%Food insecurity
32.8%SNAP enrollment
9.4%No health insurance
37.3%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Pen Lucy

What is the eviction-risk score for Pen Lucy?

Pen Lucy scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Pen Lucy compare to Baltimore overall?

Pen Lucy scores 0.2 points lower than Baltimore overall (6.7/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,083 vs $1,331.

What is the average rent in Pen Lucy?

Average gross rent in Pen Lucy is $1,083/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Pen Lucy residents are renters?

46% of Pen Lucy households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Baltimore). The neighborhood has 3,770 residents.

Is Pen Lucy a high social-vulnerability area?

Pen Lucy sits in the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Pen Lucy for landlords?

Pen Lucy carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Baltimore as a whole (6.7/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

What is the demographic breakdown of Pen Lucy?

Pen Lucy has 3,710 residents (Black (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (85.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (9%), Other / Multiracial (3.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Pen Lucy

7.2 Better Waverly 2 tracts · pop 2,573 5.8 Mayfield 2 tracts · pop 7,195 7.8 Coldstream-Homestead-Montebello 2 tracts · pop 5,545 5.4 Hampden 2 tracts · pop 5,304 7.2 Broadway East 3 tracts · pop 3,406 6.7 Moravia-Walther 2 tracts · pop 5,109

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Baltimore

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Pen Lucy.

6.5 Washington Village/Pigtown 1 tracts · pop 2,143 6.5 Wakefield 1 tracts · pop 4,025 6.5 Winston-Govans 1 tracts · pop 3,761 6.6 Reisterstown Station 2 tracts · pop 6,867 6.6 Lake Walker 1 tracts · pop 2,630 6.4 Hanlon-Longwood 1 tracts · pop 1,901

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