1 census tracts · pop 3,770 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.6/10
· range 6.6–6.6
Pen Lucy is a one-tract neighborhood of Baltimore, MD, population 3,770. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 6.6/10, Elevated tier. Against a Baltimore baseline of 32.0%, 54% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1/10. 25% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. SNAP participation is 32.8% of households versus 15.2% nationally.
CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 26.1% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,083, 19% below the Baltimore average of $1,331. The poverty rate is 18%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Among the 157 mapped neighborhoods of Baltimore, it ranks #88 by risk, the middle third. For a like-for-like read, Lake Walker and Winston-Govans score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $62,176. 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 6.6/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
6.6
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Pen Lucy vs BaltimoreHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority91%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport47%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Pen Lucy
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
26.1%Housing insecurity
19.0%Utility shutoff threat
31.4%Food insecurity
32.8%SNAP enrollment
9.4%No health insurance
37.3%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Pen Lucy
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Pen Lucy?
Pen Lucy scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Pen Lucy compare to Baltimore overall?
Pen Lucy scores 0.0 points higher than Baltimore overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,083 vs $1,331.
Q3
What is the average rent in Pen Lucy?
Average gross rent in Pen Lucy is $1,083/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Pen Lucy residents are renters?
46% of Pen Lucy households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Baltimore). The neighborhood has 3,770 residents.
Q5
Is Pen Lucy a high social-vulnerability area?
Pen Lucy sits in the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Pen Lucy for landlords?
Pen Lucy carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Baltimore as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Pen Lucy?
Pen Lucy has 3,710 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (85.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (9%), Other / Multiracial (3.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
