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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Oak Crest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Catonsville

Tract 24005401000 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 2,358 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

24005401000 is a census tract in the Oak Crest area of Catonsville, MD. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,358. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 10/10.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 15% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units787
Renter share30.6%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate5.7%
Median income$110,650

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Oak Crest
Moderate
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#9 of 13 tracts In Catonsville
Low
Within county
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#147 of 219 tracts In Baltimore County
Low
Within state
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#848 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Catonsville and the region

Centroid at 39.2724, -76.7444 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oak Crest scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Catonsville
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
5.7% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,668 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Catonsville
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Catonsville
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Catonsville
5.9

How Oak Crest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oak Crest risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 4010005.9Catonsvilleparent city5.7Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 39

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oak Crest

Running hot, local political climate reads 8.9/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.4/10. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Against Baltimore County at 46.8%, about half of renters here are cost-burdened. SNAP participation runs 7.0% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 10.0% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Baltimore County average of 5.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.6 points.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #31,049 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Average gross rent is $1,668, close to the Catonsville average. Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $110,650.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 24005401000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005401000?

Census tract 24005401000 in the Oak Crest neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24005401000?

Median gross rent is $1,668/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24005401000?

5.7% of residents in tract 24005401000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,358.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24005401000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 70th, minority 41th, housing 36th.
Q5

Is tract 24005401000 considered part of Oak Crest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005401000 fall within Oak Crest (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24005401000 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24005401000 compare to Catonsville overall?

Tract 24005401000 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of Catonsville at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Catonsville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 24005401000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Catonsville

Top eight tracts in Catonsville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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