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Neighborhood · Mount Airy, MD

Carroll Heights Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 5,221 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.2/10 · range 3.2–3.2

Carroll Heights maps to a single census tract in Mount Airy, MD and houses 5,221 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.2/10, Lower tier. Rent consumes at least 30% of income for about one in five of renter households.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1/10. Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.4/10.

Running cool is housing-court posture, at 2.5/10. SNAP participation is 5.5% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity affects 7.6% of adults, 10.2 points below the national rate. At 8% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. For a like-for-like read, Gilboa and Mount Airy Village West score within a fraction of it.

Rent takes 17% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Average gross rent runs $1,781, close to the Mount Airy average.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.2/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Carroll Heights vs Mount Airy How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
19.7% -12%
Mount Airy: 22.3%
Average gross rent
$1,781 -4%
Mount Airy: $1,854
Average HH income
$125,833 -19%
Mount Airy: $154,514
Poverty rate
3.3% +46%
Mount Airy: 2.3%
Renter share
7.5% +33%
Mount Airy: 5.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carroll Heights and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.2–3.2

Why Carroll Heights scores 3.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts
3.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Rent control risk
20% of income on rent · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts
2.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
8% renter households · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
3.3% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Risk score comparison

Carroll Heights vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Carroll Heights score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Carroll Heights: 3.23.2Carroll HeightsNeighborhoodParent city: 3.83.8Parent cityhost cityState: 5.55.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Carroll Heights

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24013513001 3.2 5,221 20% $1,781
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 13

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 4%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 52%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 20%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 26%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Carroll Heights

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Carroll Heights

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Carroll Heights?

Carroll Heights scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Carroll Heights compare to Mount Airy overall?

Carroll Heights scores 0.6 points lower than Mount Airy overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 20% of income on rent vs 22% citywide. Average rent: $1,781 vs $1,854.
Q3

What is the average rent in Carroll Heights?

Average gross rent in Carroll Heights is $1,781/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Carroll Heights residents are renters?

8% of Carroll Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 6% in Mount Airy). The neighborhood has 5,221 residents.
Q5

Is Carroll Heights a high social-vulnerability area?

Carroll Heights sits in the 13th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Carroll Heights for landlords?

Carroll Heights carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mount Airy as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Carroll Heights?

Carroll Heights has 5,070 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (87.4%), Hispanic / Latino (6.8%), Other / Multiracial (3.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mount Airy

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Carroll Heights.

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