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Neighborhood · Mount Airy, MD

Carroll Heights Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 5,221 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.2/10 · range 3.2–3.2

Carroll Heights maps to a single census tract in Mount Airy, MD and houses 5,221 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.2/10, Lower tier. Rent consumes at least 30% of income for about one in five of renter households.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1/10. Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.4/10.

Running cool is housing-court posture, at 2.5/10. SNAP participation is 5.5% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity affects 7.6% of adults, 10.2 points below the national rate. At 8% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. For a like-for-like read, Gilboa and Mount Airy Village West score within a fraction of it.

Rent takes 17% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Average gross rent runs $1,781, close to the Mount Airy average.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.2/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Carroll Heights vs Mount Airy How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
19.7% -12%
Mount Airy: 22.3%
Average gross rent
$1,781 -4%
Mount Airy: $1,854
Average HH income
$125,833 -19%
Mount Airy: $154,514
Poverty rate
3.3% +46%
Mount Airy: 2.3%
Renter share
7.5% +33%
Mount Airy: 5.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carroll Heights and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.2–3.2

Why Carroll Heights scores 3.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts
3.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Rent control risk
20% of income on rent · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts
2.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
8% renter households · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
3.3% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Risk score comparison

Carroll Heights vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Carroll Heights score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.2Carroll HeightsNeighborhood3.8Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Carroll Heights

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
24013513001 3.2 5,221 20% $1,781
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 13

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 4%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 52%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 20%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 26%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Carroll Heights

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Carroll Heights

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Carroll Heights?

Carroll Heights scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Carroll Heights compare to Mount Airy overall?

Carroll Heights scores 0.6 points lower than Mount Airy overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 20% of income on rent vs 22% citywide. Average rent: $1,781 vs $1,854.
Q3

What is the average rent in Carroll Heights?

Average gross rent in Carroll Heights is $1,781/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Carroll Heights residents are renters?

8% of Carroll Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 6% in Mount Airy). The neighborhood has 5,221 residents.
Q5

Is Carroll Heights a high social-vulnerability area?

Carroll Heights sits in the 13th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Carroll Heights for landlords?

Carroll Heights carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mount Airy as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Carroll Heights?

Carroll Heights has 5,070 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (87.4%), Hispanic / Latino (6.8%), Other / Multiracial (3.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mount Airy

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Carroll Heights.

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