Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Blue Ridge Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate , New Windsor
Tract 24013511000 · Carroll County, MD · pop 3,867 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Tract 24013511000 sits in the Blue Ridge Manor area of New Windsor, MD, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.1/10. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.5/10.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units1,503
Renter share6.7%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$113,098
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
26
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across New Windsor and the region
Centroid at 39.5363, -77.0856 · click any tract to drill in
Why Blue Ridge Manor scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from New Windsor
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$943 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Windsor
9.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Windsor
2.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Windsor
7.8
How Blue Ridge Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 33
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 63%Household composition
- 16%Racial/ethnic minority
- 43%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.7%Housing insecurity
- 4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.9%Food insecurity
- 6.0%SNAP enrollment
- 4.9%Transit barriers
- 5.5%No health insurance
- 14.9%Frequent mental distress
- 24.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Blue Ridge Manor
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.4/10. 52% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Carroll County average of 40.1%. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.
Food insecurity runs 7.9% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 6.0% against 15.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 44th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Rent consumes only 10% of average household income of $113,098, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.4 points cooler.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 24013511000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24013511000?
Census tract 24013511000 in the Blue Ridge Manor neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24013511000?
Median gross rent is $943/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24013511000?
5.3% of residents in tract 24013511000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,867.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24013511000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 63th, minority 16th, housing 43th.
Q5
Is tract 24013511000 considered part of Blue Ridge Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24013511000 fall within Blue Ridge Manor (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24013511000 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24013511000 compare to New Windsor overall?
Tract 24013511000 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of New Windsor at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Windsor; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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