Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally
Coachman's Path Housing Development Eviction Risk: Lower , Bryantown
Tract 24017851403 · Charles County, MD · pop 1,778 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Tract 24017851403 sits in the Coachman's Path Housing Development area of Bryantown, MD, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.1/10. It is home to 1,778 residents. Cost burden runs 9% here against 36.2% across Charles County.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units641
Renter share12.8%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate4.5%
Median income$120,208
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
6
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
8
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bryantown and the region
Centroid at 38.5956, -76.8084 · click any tract to drill in
Why Coachman's Path Housing Development scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bryantown
7.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
4.5% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bryantown
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bryantown
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bryantown
4.6
How Coachman's Path Housing Development compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 18%Socioeconomic
- 15%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.6%Housing insecurity
- 6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.7%Food insecurity
- 8.3%SNAP enrollment
- 6.3%Transit barriers
- 6.0%No health insurance
- 14.7%Frequent mental distress
- 25.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Coachman's Path Housing Development
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.9/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.1/10. Against the Charles County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points.
On the high side, local political climate reads 7.3/10. The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
On the national scale it lands near the 22nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 1.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 24017851403
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24017851403?
Census tract 24017851403 in the Coachman's Path Housing Development neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 24017851403?
4.5% of residents in tract 24017851403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,778.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 24017851403?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 15th, minority 61th, housing 3th.
Q4
Is tract 24017851403 considered part of Coachman's Path Housing Development?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24017851403 fall within Coachman's Path Housing Development (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q5
What share of households in tract 24017851403 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 24017851403 compare to Bryantown overall?
Tract 24017851403 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Bryantown at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bryantown; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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