Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally
Valley View Eviction Risk: Moderate , Ballenger Creek
Tract 24021751004 · Frederick County, MD · pop 5,300 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 5.8/10, tract 24021751004 in the Valley View area of Ballenger Creek, MD reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,300 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units2,181
Renter share27.6%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate3.4%
Median income$106,350
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ballenger Creek and the region
Centroid at 39.3961, -77.4700 · click any tract to drill in
Why Valley View scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ballenger Creek
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
3.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,173 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ballenger Creek
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ballenger Creek
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ballenger Creek
6.5
How Valley View compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 34
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 15%Socioeconomic
- 19%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.4%Housing insecurity
- 6.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.0%Food insecurity
- 7.0%SNAP enrollment
- 5.9%Transit barriers
- 7.0%No health insurance
- 15.6%Frequent mental distress
- 20.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Valley View
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Against the Frederick County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.2/10.
SNAP participation runs 7.0% against 15.2% nationally. The severe-burden share is 8%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Food insecurity runs 10.0% against 17.8% nationally. Average gross rent is $2,173, 9% above the Ballenger Creek average. That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.1/10. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 36% of renters. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $106,350.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 24021751004
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24021751004?
Census tract 24021751004 in the Valley View neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24021751004?
Median gross rent is $2,173/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24021751004?
3.4% of residents in tract 24021751004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,300.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24021751004?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 19th, minority 66th, housing 73th.
Q5
Is tract 24021751004 considered part of Valley View?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24021751004 fall within Valley View (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24021751004 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24021751004 compare to Ballenger Creek overall?
Tract 24021751004 scores 5.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Ballenger Creek at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ballenger Creek eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ballenger Creek
Top eight tracts in Ballenger Creek ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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